Adam Brandt

Adaptive Conformal Inference Under Delayed Feedback: Coverage Guarantees and a Delay-to-Memory Diagnostic

Adaptive Conformal Inference (ACI) extends conformal prediction to non-exchangeable settings by adjusting the nominal miscoverage level online in response to recent coverage errors. When forecasts are issued with horizon $\tau$, however, the outcome needed to evaluate a prediction is observed only $\tau$ steps later, s...