A runtime filter is proposed between any such controller and its environment that certifies a bound on the probability of reaching an unsafe condition during a bounded task.
This work proposes Flow-Corrected Thompson Sampling (fcTS), a Bayesian method that reuses experience by transporting past rewards to the present using an explicit drift model and incorporating each transported observation with a confidence weight that reflects transport reliability.
Amirhossein D. Naghdi, A. Baheri· arXiv.org· 0 citations
Online conformal prediction methods such as Adaptive Conformal Inference (ACI) and Fully Adaptive Conformal Inference (FACI) adjust prediction intervals under distribution shift, but their calibration is based on a common stream of recent nonconformity scores. We introduce Population-based Adaptive Conformal Ensembles...
Marzieh Amiri Shahbazi, A. Baheri· Forecasting· 0 citations
Contraction theory guaranties exponential convergence between trajectories of a stable nonlinear system. When initial conditions are uncertain and represented as probability distributions, as in ensemble control, Bayesian estimation, and generative modeling, this guaranty extends to the distributional level via Wassers...
Ali Baheri· arXiv.org· 0 citations
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