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Author

Aufa Al Musyarof

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Conference Aug 2026

Integrated Parameter-State Estimation and Deep Learning Forecasting for Measles Dynamics Using Hybrid Evolutionary Filtering

Measles transmission in Indonesia remains difficult to predict due to its high transmissibility and irregular outbreaks. This paper proposes a hybrid GA-EKF-LSTM framework to estimate and forecast measles dynamics through the $\mathrm{S V}_{1} \mathrm{V}_{2} \mathrm{E I H R}$ compartmental model, calibrated to monthly...

D. K. Arif, Nisrina Qurratu'Ain, Diva Almar'Atus Sholihah et al. · 0 citations
Open access Aug 2026

Mathematical Modeling and Parameter Estimation of Meningitis Transmission Dynamic using Vaccination Strategies in Indonesia

A six-compartment mathematical model is developed to examine the dynamics of meningitis transmission by dividing the population into susceptible, exposed, infected, recovered without disability, recovered with disability, and vaccinated groups to expedite herd immunity and limit disease spread.

Aufa Al Musyarof, Faris Nur Hibban, M. Mardlijah et al. · 0 citations

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