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Bowen Jiang

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Preprint Aug 2026

HPFA: Hypergraph-Based Paired Failure Attribution for LLM Reasoning

Reflection is a powerful mechanism for LLM reasoning, yet its effectiveness hinges on accurately attributing failures to specific reasoning steps, a capability that current models notably lack. Existing failure attribution methods either require expensive step-by-step counterfactual testing that scales poorly with trajectory length, or treat reasoning traces as flat sequences that ignore the inherent non-linear logical dependencies. We propose a hypergraph-based paired failure attribution (HPFA) framework that attributes the failure root cause by comparing the hyperedges of the targeted failure reasoning path against a reference successful path. By reducing the search space, our method efficiently localizes root causes and enables scalable synthesis of attribution data for training a lightweight attributor model via supervised fine-tuning and reinforcement learning. Experiments on mathematical reasoning and agentic coding tasks demonstrate that HPFA can dramatically increase attribution accuracy and efficiency, and the trained attributor consistently improves reasoning accuracy at test time, outperforming baselines that lack graph structure or paired analysis.

Runchuan Zhu, Hong Dung Lai, Bowen Jiang et al. · 1 citation
Review Aug 2026

MatrAIx: Simulating the World with 8.3 Billion Persona Agents

Human evaluation of AI systems and digital products is costly, slow, and difficult to scale. Offline evaluations are more scalable but often abstract away human diversity and interactive behavior. We therefore introduce MatrAIx, a population-scale simulated-user evaluation infrastructure for testing AI systems and digital products with heterogeneous users. MatrAIx has three core components: First, Persona 8B contains 8.3 billion persona records represented by 1,290 categorical dimensions. Records are either sampled from a dependency graph that preserves correlated attributes or derived from human-authored profiles. We release a quality-filtered coreset of approximately 1 million personas, comprising 599,847 human-grounded and 400,000 synthetic records. Second, the MatrAIx Playground provides four environments in which diverse users evaluate and interact with digital products: Survey, AI Chatbot, Web, and App. Third, MatrAIx provides 1,010 application tasks spanning more than 25 domains, including Commerce, Software, Finance, and Healthcare. We conducted 18,189 evaluation trials across eight representative tasks. Persona agents were powered by three LLMs: Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5, and Claude Haiku 4.5. The resulting feedback captures how decisions and preferences vary across persona backgrounds, including hesitation after a price increase, willingness to continue after an AI assistant fails, and latency tolerance. We conducted two main validation studies: First, a 400-trial controlled study evaluated persona adherence across ten behavioral attributes and all four environments. The declared behavior was expressed or correctly suppressed in 366 trials (91.5%). Second, human and LLM judges evaluated the extraction quality of human-grounded personas. Overall, MatrAIx provides an end-to-end infrastructure for evaluating AI systems and digital products with diverse simulated human users.

Xiaomin Li, Yuexing Hao, Jian Hou et al. · 0 citations