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Preprint Oct 2026

A Proof of the Erd\H{o}s Matching Conjecture for Large Matchings via Sharp Tail Probability for Sums of i.i.d. Nonnegative Random Variables

We resolve a conjecture of \L{}uczak, Mieczkowska and \v{S}ileikis on the maximal tail probability of sums of independent and identically distributed nonnegative random variables. Specifically, for every integer $k\ge1$ and every $0\le x\le1/k$, we prove \[ \sup_{\mathbb E X_1\le x}\mathbb{P}(X_1+\cdots+X_k\ge1) =\max\...

Cheng Chi, Shuang Sun, Yan Wang · 0 citations

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