Lung cancer and cardiovascular disease (CVD) share common aetiologies and about a quarter of patients treated for lung cancer have CVD. Thoracic radiotherapy is the mainstay of treatment for patients with inoperable lung cancer. However, incidental exposure of the heart to radiation can lead to adverse events and death. People with pre-existing CVD may be more sensitive to heart irradiation.
The RAPID-RT study uses ‘real-world’ data and a ‘rapid-learning’ methodology to evaluate the impact of reducing the radiation dose to a defined cardiac avoidance area (CAA), comprising the right atrium, aortic valve root and coronary arteries.
To examine the potentially modifying effects of pre-existing CVD and level of CAA dose delivered on survival.
Patients with stage I–III lung cancer treated with curative-intent radiotherapy (≥40Gy in >10 fractions, excluding stereotactic ablative radiotherapy), 01/2021-08/2025. From 04/2023, patients were enrolled in RAPID-RT, applying a CAA dose constraint of 19.5Gy in 20 fractions (or equivalent) unless conflicting with tumour coverage. Patients were categorised according to CAA dose above (>19.5Gy) or below (≤19.5Gy).
Clinical, treatment, comorbidity, and survival data were extracted from the electronic patient record, with comorbidities recorded using the Adult Comorbidity Evaluation-27. Missing data were addressed using multiple imputation. Survival was analysed using parametric Weibull proportional hazards models, including an interaction between pre-existing CVD and CAA dose, with adjustment for key prognostic clinical and treatment-related covariates. Adjusted 12-month survival probabilities and absolute survival differences were estimated for a typical patient.
1,880 patients were included, of whom 788 received higher CAA dose. 411 (21.9%) had pre-existing CVD.
Among patients with CVD, lower CAA dose was associated with a 4.2 percentage point (pp) improvement in 12-month survival, compared with 1.5 pps among those without cardiac comorbidity. Overall survival was poorer in patients with cardiac comorbidity than in those without, particularly among those receiving a higher CAA dose (−5.7 pps), with a less pronounced difference at lower dose (−3.0 pps).
However, CVD was not significantly associated with mortality among patients receiving either a higher CAA dose (HR 1.26 95%CI 0.98–1.64), or a lower dose (HR 1.17 95%CI 0.91–1.50). There was no evidence of interaction on the hazard ratio scale (HR for interaction 0.93, p=0.67).
Although no statistically significant interaction was observed on the HR scale, the absence of statistical significance should be interpreted cautiously given the limited power to detect effect modification. In contrast, absolute survival estimates suggested a clinically meaningful benefit of lower CAA dose among patients with pre-existing CVD, supporting the potential importance of CAA minimisation in this higher-risk group.
C. Morgan, C. Finn, G. Price et al.· European Heart Journal, Supp...· 0 citations
Cancer and cardiovascular disease (CVD) are the two leading causes of morbidity and mortality worldwide and frequently coexist due to shared risk factors and overlapping pathophysiology. Pre-existing CVD at cancer diagnosis complicates treatment decisions, limits tolerance to anticancer therapies, and is associated with poorer outcomes. However, national-level evidence describing how the burden of pre-existing CVD at cancer diagnosis has evolved over time, and how it may change in the future, remains limited. Understanding these trends is important for health service planning and integrated cardio-oncology care.
To examine temporal trends in pre-existing CVD at cancer diagnosis from 2001 to 2020, assess the impact of common comorbidities and lifestyle risk factors, and project future CVD burden to 2050.
We conducted a population-based serial cross-sectional study using linked UK electronic health records, including primary care, hospital admissions, cancer registry, and mortality data. Adults newly diagnosed with breast, prostate, lung, colorectal, or haematological cancer between 2001 and 2020 were included. Pre-existing CVD and subtypes were identified prior to cancer diagnosis. Annual crude and age-standardised prevalence estimates were calculated. Temporal trends were assessed using logistic regression adjusted for age, sex, and cancer site, with stratified analyses by cancer type, sex, ethnicity, and deprivation. Sequential models evaluated the association of cardiometabolic conditions, behavioural factors, and chronic systemic comorbidities. Projections to 2050 were generated using restricted cubic spline models to estimate CVD prevalence from 2021 to 2050.
Among 773,590 patients with cancer, age-standardised prevalence of pre-existing CVD increased from 31.4% in 2001 to 39.2% in 2020. Lung and haematological cancers consistently showed the highest CVD burden, while breast cancer showed the lowest. The steepest increases were observed for heart failure, atrial fibrillation, and valvular heart disease, whereas myocardial infarction and stroke showed slower growth. Sequential modelling indicated that rising cardiometabolic and chronic systemic comorbidities were strongly associated with the observed temporal increase, while behavioural factors provided limited additional attenuation. Projections suggested that approximately half of patients may have pre-existing CVD at cancer diagnosis by 2050.
The burden of pre-existing CVD at cancer diagnosis has increased substantially over the past two decades in the UK and is projected to rise further. These findings highlight the growing need for integrated prevention strategies and cardio-oncology services to address increasing multimorbidity in patients with cancer.
A. Alshahrani, E. Kontopantelis, C. Morgan et al.· European Heart Journal, Supp...· 0 citations