Eltahir Idris Eltahir Mohamed

Horizon-Dependent Solar Irradiance Forecasting with Boosted Trees, and Seasonal Baselines Based on Measurements in Sudan

Solar irradiance forecasting accuracy depends on the prediction horizon because the use of recent observations, meteorological variables, and seasonal patterns changes with lead time. However, weak persistence baselines, temporally unreliable validation, and inconsistent test samples can overstate the advantage of comp...