Can AI Forecast the Extremes? Evaluating Probabilistic Weather Models on Tropical Cyclones
Weather prediction is undergoing an important shift, with data-driven AI models outperforming leading numerical weather prediction systems on average at a fraction of the computational cost. Yet, whether this success extends to extreme events remains contested. Earlier evaluations have exposed important shortcomings, b...
N. Chalumeau, X. Renard, R. Meynadier et al.
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