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Francesco Orabona

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#machine learning Preprint Oct 2026

Monitoring for Shifts at Unknown Times: Parameter-Free Conditional Conformal Martingales

Conditional conformal test martingales provide sequential tests for detecting distribution shifts, using a fixed reference dataset to avoid contamination from test-time samples. Prior work used a penalized betting function via online optimization with smoothing, clipping, and other hyperparameters, which can adapt slow...

Tuo Liu, Drew Prinster, Francesco Orabona · 0 citations

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