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Open access Aug 2026

Carbon Pricing and Corporate Investment Responses: Evidence from China’s Emissions Trading System

Carbon pricing has emerged as a central policy tool for addressing climate change and advancing corporate environmental responsibility, yet its impact on firm-level investment and capital allocation remains insufficiently understood, particularly in emerging economies. This study examines whether emissions trading syst...

Wen-Jie Fan, Ting-Ting Yu, Heng Wu · 0 citations
Open access Sep 2026

Is China’s National Carbon-Allowance Price Predictable? An Interpretable Machine Learning and Volatility Analysis Around the 2025 Market Expansion

China’s national Emissions Trading System expanded from power to steel, cement and aluminum in March 2025. We examine daily carbon emission allowance price predictability using 1203 trading-day prices. Eleven models and a 26-predictor baseline undergo nested expanding-window validation. Separate common-sample sensitivi...

Shichao Li, Heng Wu, A. S. Abu Bakar · 0 citations

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