In silico screening of anti-atherosclerotic compounds from Morus alba leaves by machine learning and network pharmacology.
OBJECTIVE This study integrates machine learning with network pharmacology, molecular docking, and molecular dynamics simulations to screen bioactive compounds from Mulberry leaves and elucidate their potential mechanisms against atherosclerosis (AS). METHODS A training dataset of anti-AS active compounds was compiled and encoded as Morgan fingerprints. Three machine learning classifiers, specifically Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine (SVM), and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XG-Boost), were constructed and evaluated using multiple performance metrics. Potential active components from Mulberry leaves and AS-related targets were retrieved, followed by protein-protein interaction network construction and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) pathway enrichment analysis. Molecular docking was then performed to evaluate binding affinities between core targets and candidate compounds, and the most stable complex was subjected to molecular dynamics simulations using GROMACS (2025). RESULTS The RF model achieved superior performance (accuracy= 0.8354, F1 = 0.8408, AUC = 0.9119) with 100% external validation accuracy. Thirteen anti-AS candidates were prioritized from mulberry leaves, four of which have been previously documented. Network pharmacology revealed AKT1 and IL6 as core targets, enriched in pathways such as endocrine resistance. Molecular docking and dynamics simulations confirmed strong binding between oxysanguinarine and AKT1, with the complex exhibiting high stability. CONCLUSION The RF model provides a reliable computational tool for prioritizing anti-AS compounds from Mulberry leaves. The integrated analysis reveals that Mulberry leaves exert anti-atherosclerotic effects through multi-target (e.g., AKT1, IL6) and multi-pathway (e.g., PI3K-Akt) mechanisms, offering a framework for further experimental validation.