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I. Narváez-Bandera

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Open access Aug 2026

A software package for simple and rigorous survival machine learning analysis in biomedical research

Survival analysis is a fundamental technique in biomedical research for modeling time-to-event data. It enables the identification of prognostic factors in disease, compares survival outcomes across treatment groups, and performs targeted treatment selection. A variety of machine learning (ML) approaches to survival analysis have emerged to complement classical statistical methods, especially for high-dimensional datasets with complex, nonlinear interactions between features. However, using survival ML methods requires addressing challenges such as censoring-unaware evaluation, overfitting, selecting performance metrics, and data leakage. To address these and other difficulties in using survival ML models, we developed the mlsurv software package. mlsurv is an open-source Python package built around three major design principles: 1) methodological rigor, including evidence-based model selection, leakage-free pipelines, and multi-metric evaluation, 2) multi-scale evaluation and interpretation, including population and subpopulation evaluation, patient-level explanations, and feature analysis, and 3) automated trust and transparency, including limitation flagging and TRIPOD+AI-aligned reporting. mlsurv bundles ten models spanning linear, ensemble, kernel, and deep learning families within a unified software package. We demonstrate mlsurv on the Chowell immunotherapy cohort (n=1,479). The survival-trained models achieve a test concordance index of 0.73 for overall survival prediction. Further, risk scores strongly correlate with the response-trained LORIS clinical score (|{rho}| up to 0.84), reflecting the overlap between prognostic and predictive signal. mlsurv enables biomedical researchers to conduct rigorous, multi-model survival analysis and benchmarking using minimal code with default best practices rather than implementing custom scripts and methodological safeguards from scratch.

A. Pybus, J. Qiu, P. C. Morais Lyra et al. · 0 citations