Mechanism-Aware Ensemble Conditioning for Data-Limited Emulation of Extreme Events
A mechanism-aware conditioning plug-in framework that turns a nudged coarse ensemble into a non-intrusive sensor of local instability geometry, showing that local instability geometry is not merely interpretable post hoc, but an actionable conditioning signal for data-efficient rare-event emulation.
Isabella Thiel, J. Bello-Rivas, Y. Kevrekidis et al.
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