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Open access Oct 2026

Quantifying advances in infectious disease forecast skill across seasons and pathogens

Infectious disease forecasting supports public health preparedness and response by informing resource allocation, intervention planning, and situational awareness. Infectious disease forecasting capabilities in the United States have grown over the past decade yet whether forecast quality has improved over this time re...

C. Bay, N. Moghaddas, J. Davis et al. · 0 citations
Open access Sep 2026

Multi-season evaluation and analysis of categorical trend forecasts of influenza hospital admissions in the United States

Forecasting influenza hospitalizations informs public health preparedness, yet questions remain about which types of forecasts best guide action. We evaluate categorical trend forecasts, which communicate probabilities of upcoming increases or decreases in epidemic trajectories, submitted to CDC's FluSight Forecasting...

J. Davis, G. Kaur, A. Hines et al. · 0 citations

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