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Preprint Aug 2026

Launch-Bound and Substitutable: Why Three Inference Optimizations Fail to Pay Off in Mixture-of-Experts Models

Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) models route each token to a few of many expert networks, and that routing is data-dependent in a way standard inference optimizations do not expect. This paper measures what three of them actually deliver on OLMoE-1B-7B, DeepSeek-V2-Lite, and Qwen3-30B-A3B. Fused Triton kernels reach 5.6x to 9.0x in isolation but 0.999x end to end against a measured 1.07x ceiling, because the model spends its time waiting on roughly a thousand kernel launches per forward pass rather than on the arithmetic those kernels improve. INT4 quantization changes on average 0.53 of the eight selected experts per token position, yet replaying exactly those changed routes through full-precision weights reproduces only 2.7% of the quality loss, which makes the experts substitutable rather than specialized. Removing all 23 graph breaks from PyTorch's compiler, the step prior work treats as the structural fix, makes the model three times slower. A fourth result ties the three together: leaving the routers in FP16 lowers drift by 20% while raising loss, so routing fidelity and output quality are separable objectives. Every number recomputes from committed per-token route dumps.

Gokulakannan Sakthivel, Jerry Wu, A. Rajendra et al. · 0 citations
Preprint Jul 2026

Silent Failures in Quantized LLM Reasoning: A Taxonomy-Based Analysis of Hollow Convergence and Failure Mode Shifts

We show that post-training quantization can silently alter how large language models reason even when task accuracy is preserved. Using a six-category failure taxonomy validated by two independent human annotators (Cohen's $\kappa$ = 0.906), we classify 30,000 chain-of-thought outputs from five instruction-tuned LLMs (3B--14B parameters) across three quantization precisions (FP32, FP16, NF4) and four reasoning benchmarks. We find that while accuracy is robust across precisions (maximum 3.1 pp drop), Hollow Convergence (correct answers reached through incomplete or unverifiable reasoning) shows a significant size-dependent shift under NF4, dropping sharply for the two smallest models tested but remaining invariant for models at 12B parameters and above. This effect is also benchmark-specific: GSM8K is categorically immune while LogiQA and ARC-Challenge show the largest shifts. Furthermore, under NF4, Shortcut Collapse rises from 44% to 78% of wrong-answer failures in LLaMA 3.2-3B while Confidence Snowballing collapses from 15.8% to near zero, a qualitative shift invisible to accuracy metrics. Finally, we show Hollow Convergence cannot be reliably detected from surface-level text features (best F1 = 0.53), establishing it as a deployment-relevant failure mode that standard evaluation pipelines cannot catch.

Renuka Oladri, M. Priya, Jerry Wu · 0 citations