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Johannes Lederer

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Preprint Sep 2026

Market-Informed Networks for Modeling and Forecast Evaluation of Financial Extremes

Modeling the joint distribution of extreme values in high-dimensional financial time series is challenging because extremes are sparse and locally extreme observations are not necessarily extreme relative to their full marginal distribution. To address this, we introduce a time-dependent network H\"usler-Reiss model in...

Ayla Jungbluth, Johannes Lederer, Simon Trimborn · 0 citations

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