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Junlin Chen

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Preprint Aug 2026

Counterfactual Quotient Models: Learning What Actions Change, Not What the World Does

Reinforcement-learning models commonly predict complete future states, observations, or feature occupancies, even though action selection depends only on differences between the consequences of candidate actions. As a result, these models may devote substantial statistical and representational capacity to high-dimensional phenomena that evolve independently of the agent's current choice. We introduce the Counterfactual Quotient Model, which treats action-conditioned futures as equivalent when they differ only by a component shared across actions. Its canonical centered representation removes this common component while preserving every pairwise action comparison expressible by the modeled reward family. The implemented model learns these action-dependent effects directly from synchronized counterfactual rollouts, so shared stochastic dynamics cancel before function approximation rather than after complete futures have been predicted. We establish the decision sufficiency, identifiability, common-mode invariance, approximation behavior, and regret properties of the resulting representation. Controlled experiments in physics-based environments provide initial evidence for these properties: direct effect learning suppresses action-independent variation, supports previously unseen reward queries, and improves action ranking relative to models trained to predict absolute futures.

Junlin Chen, Ruijie Wang, Jianxin Li · 0 citations
2025

Dynamic Siamese Expansion Framework for Improving Robustness in Online Continual Learning

Continual learning requires the model to continually capture novel information without forgetting prior knowledge. Nonetheless, existing studies predominantly address catastrophic forgetting, often neglecting enhancements in model robustness. Consequently, these methodologies fall short in real-time applications, such as autonomous driving, where data samples frequently exhibit noise due to environmental and lighting variations, thereby impairing model efficacy and causing safety issues. In this paper, we address robustness in continual learning systems by introducing an innovative approach, the Dynamic Siamese Expansion Framework (DSEF) that employs a Siamese backbone architecture, comprising static and dynamic components, to facilitate the learning of both global and local representations over time. Specifically, the proposed framework dynamically generates a lightweight expert for each novel task, leveraging the Siamese backbone to enable rapid adaptation. A novel Robust Dynamic Representation Optimization (RDRO) approach is proposed to incrementally update the dynamic backbone by maintaining all previously acquired representations and prediction patterns of historical experts, thereby fostering new task learning without inducing detrimental knowledge transfer. Additionally, we propose a novel Robust Feature Fusion (RFF) approach to incrementally amalgamate robust representations from all historical experts into the expert construction process. A novel mutual information-based technique is employed to derive adaptive weights for feature fusion by assessing the knowledge relevance between historical experts and the new task, thus maximizing positive knowledge transfer effects. A comprehensive experimental evaluation, benchmarking our approach against established baselines, demonstrates that our method achieves state-of-the-art performance even under adversarial attacks. Code is released at https://github.com/seSysdl/DSEF.

Fei Ye, Yulong Zhao, Qihe Liu et al. · 2 citations