Karl Evan R. Pama

Stochastic Time Series Analysis for Palay Production in South Cotabato, Philippines, Using the Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) Model

This study used SARIMA time series modeling to describe, model, and forecast quarterly palay production in South Cotabato, Philippines using data from 1987 to 2025 (i.e., 1987–2019 as training period and 2020–2025 as validation period), and then generate forecasts from 2026 to 2030. Specifically, it aimed to explore dy...