Proper Scoring Rule-based Diffusion for Probabilistic Weather Forecasting
Recent probabilistic weather forecasters train stochastic predictors with the continuous ranked probability score (CRPS) to generate each ensemble member in a single forward pass. These models learn the predictive distribution from the forecast context alone, which becomes difficult at longer forecast horizons where un...
Joonhyeong Park, G. Nam, Hyungi Lee et al.
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