Prognostic stratification by LGR5 expression identifies surface-accessible, structurally ligandable and condensate-forming targets in colorectal cancer
Background LGR5 marks colorectal cancer stem cells and is associated with poor outcome, but its expression on normal intestinal stem cells has constrained direct therapeutic targeting, and the molecular landscape of LGR5-high tumors remains incompletely defined. A transcriptional signature is not itself a set of drug targets: its constituent genes differ in whether and how they can be engaged pharmacologically, a distinction rarely applied systematically to a tumor-defined gene set. Methods We stratified 396 colorectal tumors from The Cancer Genome Atlas by LGR5 expression and compared transcriptional, somatic mutation, and copy number profiles between LGR5-high and LGR5-low groups using non-parametric testing with combined significance and effect-size thresholds. Genome-wide CRISPR knockout data were interrogated to test genetic dependency. Each signature gene was then triaged by pharmacological tractability rather than essentiality, along three axes: surface accessibility, from surfaceome annotation and membrane topology; cavity ligandability, from pocket detection on predicted structures using three independent algorithms; and condensate propensity, from saturation concentration prediction and coarse-grained molecular dynamics simulation. Results LGR5-high tumors displayed a coordinated program spanning Wnt signaling, stemness, and matrix remodeling, arising on an APC-mutant background with co-occurring IGF2 amplification. No constituent gene scored as a selective dependency. The three axes partitioned the signature with minimal overlap and nominated three candidates engaged by orthogonal modalities: ENPP3, a single-pass ectoenzyme presenting an accessible ectodomain and carrying clinical antibody-drug conjugate precedent; PLCB4, combining a well-defined catalytic pocket with additional predicted ligandable sites; and NKD1, accessible by neither route but undergoing RNA-stabilized homotypic phase separation, unlike SATB1 and MEX3A. Simulations further indicated that NKD1 partitions into DVL2-containing condensates and reduces DVL2-Wnt contacts, suggesting a biophysical basis for its negative-feedback role. Conclusions LGR5 expression defines a colorectal cancer subset that is pharmacologically tractable despite the absence of genetic dependency. Triaging by modality rather than essentiality converts descriptive tumor signatures into stratified, experimentally testable therapeutic hypotheses, including condensate-directed modulation of NKD1 as a route to targets inaccessible by antibody- or pocket-based approaches.