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Lukasz Szpruch

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Preprint Aug 2026

Poisoning Agentic Alpha: Adversarial Vulnerabilities Across Roles and Architectures in Multi-Agent Trading Systems

LLM-based multi-agent trading systems, in which specialized agents collaborate through structured communication to produce trading decisions, are moving rapidly from research prototypes to live deployments that control real assets. The same inter-agent communication that makes them effective also exposes them: a corrupted signal can propagate to the final decision and translate into realized financial loss. Unlike prior attacks that presume privileged access to system internals, we restrict the adversary to what is practically reachable---the source data and prompts agents consume---yielding a low-barrier, and thus democratized threat model instantiated as role-specific adversaries. We present the first systematic empirical study in the financial domain to characterize how an adversarial signal enters a multi-agent trading system and how far it survives toward the decision. Along the role axis, we decompose a widely-used trading pipeline into four functional roles---Analyst, Researcher, Trader, and Risk Manager---and pair each with an attack matched to its interface. Along the structural axis, we evaluate four communication topologies under data- and agent-level attacks, using the Adversarial Signal Preservation Score (APS) as a post-hoc lens on why some designs are more robust than others. We conduct experiments across five assets, two backbones, and two target directions. A central finding is that no architecture is inherently robust. These findings provide insights for the future design of safer and more robust agentic trading systems.

CheolWon Na, Hao Ni, Lukasz Szpruch et al. · 0 citations
Preprint Jul 2026

Underwriting the Agent Economy: The Blueprint for an AI Insurance Stack

From maritime trade to commercial nuclear power, insurance has been the enabler of major economic and technological developments by pricing risk, limiting downside, and spreading best practices. The emerging AI agent economy, projected to handle trillions of dollars in transactions by 2030, looks to be the next such development. Yet insurers'exposure to AI agent risk currently sits largely unpriced across existing insurance lines; between this silent coverage and growing exclusions, coverage is not fit for purpose. Furthermore, insurability is trending the wrong way: AI agent capabilities appear to be outpacing reliability, leading to rising incident severity; concentration among a few foundation model providers threatens correlated losses; and traditional actuarial modeling will struggle to keep pace with a technology evolving as rapidly as frontier AI. This report argues that affirmative AI coverage with limits in the billions is achievable by 2030, but only with industry-wide coordination. Drawing on successful historical precedents such as Underwriters Laboratories, the Closed Claims Project, and others, we lay out an eight-component AI insurance stack spanning incident data collection, catastrophe modeling, standards, contract design, risk selection, pricing, monitoring, and claims management. Building out this infrastructure is what will enable insurers to cover and manage AI agent risk sustainably and at scale. Finally, we discuss coverage for catastrophic risk from frontier AI ("AI CAT"), including CBRN, critical infrastructure collapse, and loss of control scenarios. Addressing these tail risks will require purpose-built instruments, potentially including a frontier model developer mutual, catastrophe bonds, bespoke liability regimes, and government backstops.

Cristian Trout, Sanmi Koyejo, S. Romanosky et al. · 0 citations