Mazen Hesham Elnahal

Reducing Peak Load Underprediction Through Risk-Aware Upper Quantile Forecasting: A University Laboratory Case Study

Underprediction of high electrical demand can be more operationally consequential than an equally sized overprediction, yet standard point forecasting models are optimized primarily for average error. This case study evaluates a multivariate quantile Transformer as a safety-oriented next observation forecasting layer f...