Author

Michael Assaf

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Preprint Jul 2026

Extreme outbreaks in non-Markovian epidemics on complex networks

Extreme epidemic risk is controlled by the right tail of the outbreak-size distribution, but this distribution is generally unknown for non-Markovian spreading on networks. Here we determine this distribution by mapping non-Markovian SIR dynamics to an effective Markovian description. We show that arbitrary infection a...

Ami Taitelbaum, Michael Assaf · 0 citations