Performance evaluation of ARIMA, VAR, ANN, GRU, and LSTM for multivariate healthcare time-series prediction: a rigorous, reproducible benchmarking study with ablation analysis on MIMIC-III and eICU
Introduction Accurate forecasting of physiological time-series in the intensive care unit (ICU) is critical for early-warning systems, deterioration detection, and dynamic resource allocation. Yet the comparative literature suffers from five persistent methodological deficiencies: non-unified experimental conditions, h...