Author

Muzi Chen

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Preprint Jul 2026

Do Carbon Price Forecasts Improve Compliance Procurement? Evidence from European Union Allowances

Firms covered by emissions trading systems need forecasts not only to value allowances, but also to decide when to buy them. This paper asks whether European Union Allowance (EUA) prices contain short-horizon predictability that survives a forecast-origin information design and improves simulated compliance procurement...

Muzi Chen, Di-Fang Huang, Shouyang Wang et al. · 0 citations