Author

N. R. Moghaddas

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#artificial intelligence Preprint Oct 2026

Coherence-Driven Belief Formation and Population Dynamics of Contagion in LLM Agents

Models of social contagion usually assume how individuals adopt beliefs and derive population behavior from it. We instead empirically measure belief adoption in language model agents, quantifying the probability an agent adopts a claim given how many peers endorse it. We find this adoption kernel to be sigmoid, a char...

Tathagata Banerjee, N. Moghaddas · 0 citations

Open access Oct 2026

Quantifying advances in infectious disease forecast skill across seasons and pathogens

Infectious disease forecasting supports public health preparedness and response by informing resource allocation, intervention planning, and situational awareness. Infectious disease forecasting capabilities in the United States have grown over the past decade yet whether forecast quality has improved over this time re...

C. Bay, N. Moghaddas, J. Davis et al. · medRxiv · 0 citations