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Author

Noheed Khan

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Open access Aug 2026

Deep Learning for Corporate Governance: Predicting Financial Distress and Fraud Using Transformer-Based Models on Board Networks

The crossroads of deep learning and corporate governance is a paradigm shift in financial risk analysis, which goes beyond the conventional ratio models and modifies the multifaceted relationship relationships of board organizations and corporate networks. In this article, the authors provide a robust set of predictors of financial distress and fraud based on transformer-based designs of the board network data. We introduce a new methodological framework that combines graph neural networks with attention mechanisms to model director interlocks, committee structures, and measures of governance quality as high-dimensional relational features. The framework employs advanced econometric methods such as difference-in-differences with continuous treatment, propensity score weighting with neural network propensity estimation, and panel VAR with impulse response functions to create a causal identification. Empirical evidence on a decade of board-level data shows that transformer models have better predictive accuracy than conventional methods and that area under the curve (AUC) gains are 12-18 points in predicting financial distress and 22-28 points in predicting fraud. The cognitive interpretability module establishes the board independence, audit committee expertise and the network centrality of directors as the most important determinants of firm resilience. These results indicate that the application of algorithmic governance based on the use of deep learning can improve transparency, reduce agency risks, and give regulators decision-support systems to conduct active risk monitoring.

Research Paper, Muhammad Usman, Malik et al. · 0 citations
Open access Jul 2026

Dynamic Customer Equity Optimization: A Reinforcement Learning Framework for Sequential Marketing Decision-Making in Volatile Markets

In a world of unparalleled market volatility and fragmented customer journeys, the old customer equity management models based on fixed segmentation and post-hoc analytics have not been sufficient to capture the dynamic development of customer-firm relationships. This paper presents an elaborate reinforcement learning (RL) model of dynamic customer equity optimization, which views marketing decisions as adaptive interventions that are sequential in non-stationary environment. To construct a practically implementable and theoretically based architecture of real-time marketing decision-making, we combine recent developments in the deep reinforcement learning, causal inference, and customer lifetime value (CLV) modeling. The framework combines: (1) multi-response state models that maintain Markov properties whilst learn online customer value signals; (2) conservative Q-learning to ensure reliable policy learning on offline data; (3) factor sensitive reward designs that include time varying customer engagement dynamics; and (4) multi-objective optimization that balances acquisition, retention and profitability goals. Empirical results on a variety of industry applications show that RL-based methods obtain significant improvements over constant baselines, and reported improvements in targeting efficiency of 27% (Qini coefficient), ROI gains of 18-58 and CLV impact gains of 45-85 (Wang and Chen, 2025). We cover theoretical background, issues in implementation and research directions in the future by arguing that dynamic customer equity optimization is a paradigm shift; instead of reactive, campaign-based marketing, dynamic customer equity optimization is proactive, relationship-oriented value co-creation. The paper ends by highlighting research gaps that are crucial to fill and outlining an agenda to further develop the combination of reinforcement learning and customer equity theory.

P. Khan, Muhammad Junaid, M. Ajmal et al. · 0 citations