Nur Afriza Baki

Evaluating Time-Series Models for Dengue Haemorrhagic Fever Prediction: Arima vs. Sarima and Exponential Smoothing

Accurately forecasting the transmission of infectious diseases, such as Dengue Haemorrhagic Fever (DHF), is essential for robust public health planning. This study assesses the performance of three time-series forecasting models—Exponential Smoothing, Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA), and Seasonal ARIMA...