Author

Peng Han

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Open access Sep 2026

Initial-State-Aware Multi-Scale Transformer for Short-Term Wind Power Forecasting

Accurate short-term wind power forecasting is essential for the secure and economic operation of power systems with high renewable energy penetration. However, forecasting performance is still affected by meteorological forecast uncertainty and the complex multi-scale fluctuation characteristics of wind power generatio...

Chao-Ying Yang, Jun Zhao, Peng Han et al. · Energies · 0 citations

Open access Jul 2026

Context-Aware Asymmetric Conformal Calibration of Renewable-Power Prediction Intervals for Day-Ahead Operational Risk Assessment

High renewable penetration makes day-ahead operation sensitive to the directional effects of wind and photovoltaic forecast errors. Conventional prediction intervals mainly evaluate coverage and sharpness, but lower- and upper-boundary violations correspond to different operational risks: shortage-side supply-adequacy...

Peng Han, Jun Zhao, Yu Liu et al. · Energies · 0 citations