Author

Qiang Xu

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#artificial intelligence Preprint Sep 2026

When Tomorrow Becomes Today: Self-Evolving Policies for Agentic Time-Series Forecasting

Agentic time series forecasting concerns systems whose underlying mechanisms evolve, making the relative effectiveness of numerical models, reasoning strategies, and intervention rules inherently time-varying. Consequently, a time series agent must adapt the forecasts it produces and the orchestration policy that deter...

Yi-Fan Hu, Xilin Dai, Zhi-Yuan Qu et al. · 0 citations

Jul 2026

Distilling Temporal Search and Reasoning: Evolving LLMs for Future Prediction via Harness-Assisted Efficient Data Synthesis

Future event prediction carries broad social impact yet remains challenging. SOTA approaches augment LLMs with external agent frameworks whose predictive capability vanishes once the harness is removed. While recent Tool-Integrated Reasoning (TIR) internalizes deep search for multi-hop retrieval of facts, forecasting f...

Wanxu Cai, Zhengyu Chen, Huaisheng Zhu et al. · arXiv.org · 0 citations