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Rishov Nag

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Aug 2026

A large language model framework for predicting significant equity index fluctuations

It is concluded that the genuinely difficult part of deployment is tail-event detection rather than directional forecasting, and that a credible evaluation must rely on event-sensitive metrics and time-aware validation; without them, performance under heavy imbalance is easily overstated.

Rishov Nag, Sankhayan Choudhury · 0 citations