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Ruichu Cai

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Preprint Jul 2026

Local Causal Structure Learning in the Presence of Latent Variables and Selection Bias

Discovering the direct causes and effects of a target variable from observational data is a fundamental problem in causal discovery, with broad applications in domains such as gene regulatory analysis and biomedical research. Existing causal discovery methods either learn a global causal structure, which incurs substantial computational cost, or assume the absence of latent variables and selection bias, assumptions that are often violated in real-world settings. Motivated by these challenges, we study local causal structure learning in the presence of latent variables and selection bias. Specifically, we first characterize a local region that enables target-specific causal discovery without recovering the entire global structure. We then establish a theoretical bridge between causal information learned from the observed distribution induced on this local region and the corresponding information in the global causal structure. Building on these foundations, we propose LoCaLS, a local causal structure learning algorithm that is sound and complete under standard assumptions and identifies the same direct causes and effects of a target variable as those identifiable by global causal discovery methods, while allowing for latent variables and selection bias. Extensive experiments on random and real-world structures demonstrate that the proposed method consistently achieves higher structural accuracy than existing local methods while requiring substantially less computational effort than state-of-the-art global methods. Furthermore, applications to two real-world gene expression datasets reveal biologically plausible target-specific causal structures, demonstrating its practical applicability in large-scale biological data analysis.

Zheng Li, Hao Zhang, Ruxin Wang et al. · 1 citation
Preprint Jul 2026

CDFM: Towards a General-Purpose Causal Discovery Foundation Model

Causal discovery, the process of recovering underlying causal structures from observational data, is a fundamental pursuit across scientific disciplines. Over the past decades, numerous algorithms have been developed to tackle this challenge through workflows tailored to the specific causal mechanisms underlying each type of dataset, demonstrating effectiveness across a wide range of applications. However, as the volume and heterogeneity of real-world data continue to grow, this dataset-specific approach inevitably leads to a fragmented, test-driven paradigm that struggles to scale to the demands of modern scientific discovery. To address this, we formulate the Causal Discovery Foundation Model (CDFM) as a unified, general-purpose framework for zero-shot structural inference. To ensure reliable generalization across unknown domains, we first investigate the theoretical boundaries of causal identifiability, revealing the indispensable role of causal prior mechanisms in this process. Building on these insights, we formulate a principled variational framework that treats unknown causal mechanisms as latent variables and mathematically decomposes the intractable marginal likelihood into distinct, tractable learning modules. The variational decomposition provides a conceptual design principle for the architecture design of CDFM, while comprehensive causal knowledge guides the large-scale synthesis of our pretraining data. By pretraining on a massive, highly diverse space of synthetic structural causal models, CDFM successfully internalizes complex statistical asymmetries. Extensive experiments demonstrate that CDFM consistently outperforms traditional algorithms, driving a paradigm shift toward a general-purpose causal discovery foundation model.

Jie Qiao, Ruichu Cai, Zijian Li et al. · 0 citations