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Shiyu Wang

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Preprint Aug 2026

When Do Corrective Features Help? An Agent for Corrective Feature Discovery on Black-Box Forecasters

Frozen pretrained forecasters often fail in structured, recurring ways that are costly to repair through fine-tuning. We study corrective feature discovery: mining interpretable features of a frozen forecaster's residual to drive a lightweight post-hoc corrector. Prior automated feature engineering models the data-generating process; corrective features instead model the model-failure process. We present CRAFTER (Corrective Residual Agent with Feature-based Temporal Exploration and Reasoning), which keeps the backbone frozen and mines its residual with two complementary generators: a compositional search over the raw input channels, and a large language model (LLM) that proposes named feature combinations, binary flags, and short executable code. A single validation-grounded gate accepts or rejects every candidate regardless of its origin, and a validation-selected corrector applies the accepted features or leaves the forecast unchanged. This source-agnostic pipeline also allows prior feature-engineering systems to be evaluated under identical conditions, making CRAFTER an instrument for attributing forecast improvements to the feature source alone. Across six public datasets and six frozen backbones, CRAFTER surpasses every dedicated feature-engineering system at every feature budget, roughly doubling the improvement achieved by the corrector alone and reducing the error of the weakest backbones by up to 27%. These gains are robust across different LLM backends and persist even when applied on top of fine-tuned backbones.

Fangxin Wang, Ziyi Zhang, Diyi Zhuang et al. · 0 citations
Review Open access Jul 2026

System identification for complex dynamical systems: a survey

System identification provides the data-to-model link for analysis, prediction, diagnosis, and control of dynamical systems. As engineering and scientific systems become increasingly nonlinear, high-dimensional, networked, time-varying, and partially observed, identification methods must handle noisy data, incomplete prior knowledge, safety constraints, and downstream control requirements. This review surveys system identification for complex dynamical systems through a unified framework that connects model structure, operating mode, estimation target, and computational setting. We first revisit single-system identification, including regularized regression, sparse Bayesian learning, Kalman-type filtering, and recent structured recursive methods such as auxiliary-model, multi-innovation, hierarchical, filtering-based, and coupled identification. We then review multi-system identification for families of interacting or related subsystems, covering deep neural architectures, sparse equation discovery for ordinary and partial differential equations, hybrid and topology-aware modeling, and meta-learning-based fast adaptation. Finally, we discuss large language model-assisted workflows for symbolic regression, equation discovery, feature generation, and scientific modeling. By comparing these methodological streams, this review highlights their strengths, limitations, and applicability to prediction, synchronization, diagnosis, and control. We identify key open challenges, including robust identification under biased or limited data, uncertainty-aware modeling, interpretable learning, reproducible benchmarking, and tighter integration between identification, experiment design, and control synthesis.

Xiaoyu Zhang, Zi-Qiang Li, Ruizhe Shi et al. · 0 citations