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Preprint Oct 2026

Sharp Partial Identification for Survival Model Comparison Without Target Outcomes

We compare two locked survival prediction models in a target population before target survival outcomes are available. At a prespecified horizon, the estimand is the target Brier-risk contrast. Under a bounded conditional log-odds shift model on a prespecified deployment summary, we derive a sharp identified set preser...

W. Choi, Sun-Ho Kim, Min Soo Kim · 0 citations

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