Forecasting Non-Life Insurance Premiums and Emerging Risk Factors in a Developing Market: Evidence from Albania, 2010–2026, with Projections to 2032
This paper provides the first monthly frequency analysis and multi-year forecast of the non-life insurance market in Albania. We construct a harmonized monthly dataset of gross written premiums and gross paid claims covering 2010 to mid-2026 from the statistical reports of the Albanian Financial Supervisory Authority,...