Preprint
Aug 2026
Real-time probabilistic tsunami forecasting via generative AI
A probabilistic ensemble model based on a conditional diffusion model (a type of generative AI) that reconciles accuracy with calibration that shows that generative AI can shift tsunami forecasting from determinism to probabilism, providing a foundation for next-generation early warning.
Y. Oishi, Takashi Furumura, Fumihiko Imamura
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