Author

Yan Wang

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Preprint Sep 2026

Prediction-Market Seed Capital Recovery from Noise-Dominant Flow

Automated prediction markets require sponsors to prefund liquidity before observing order flow, creating a financing challenge at launch. We study whether nonnegative charges conditioned on observable payoff direction can improve recovery of this prefunded capital while limiting their effect on informed participation....

Yankai Chen, Bowei He, Zhuohan Xie et al. · 1 citation

Preprint Aug 2026

Factorized Hypothesis Search for Evidence-to-Taxonomy Retrieval

Large-taxonomy retrieval often assumes that the input already expresses the target concept. In many settings, however, the input is indirect evidence, such as a table cell whose meaning depends on its row, column, datatype, and context. We call this mismatch the retrieval readiness gap. Our analysis shows that the curr...

Lin-Hai Ma, Ethan F. Wei, Xue-Qing Peng et al. · 0 citations