Time series analysis in high-stakes domains relies on recurring data releases, where new observations can alter the evidence base and the validity of later conclusions. Existing time series QA benchmarks mostly rely on fixed snapshots, leaving temporal validity and cutoff-aware evidence use unevaluated. We introduce TimeSage-EV, a live benchmark for agentic time series analysis in evolving environments. It tracks 60 real institutional scenarios across 6 domains, comprising 1,485 scenario-period QA pairs from Feb 2023 to May 2026 and spanning monthly, weekly, daily, and irregular release cadences. At each period, large language model (LLM) agents receive time series data and source reports, while the withheld target release provides ground truth. TimeSage-EV evaluates state identification, data summarization, and outlook reasoning. Experiments with frontier LLM agents and TimeSage-1.0, a novel self-evolving agent with a reusable analytical skill library, reveal significant performance gaps across model tiers and recurring failures in temporal validity, exogenous context use, and adaptation. We release TimeSage-EV as a research resource with monthly updates, code, a leaderboard, and failure-mode analyses.
Qingren Yao, Yaxuan Kong, Yuqi Nie et al.· 0 citations
Recently, retrieval-augmented and memory-augmented methods have emerged as two promising paradigms for long-video question answering. However, existing methods typically rely on rigid, fixed-length temporal chunking (e.g., 10s) and static offline memory banks, which not only fragment coherent continuous events but also fail to adapt during real-time reasoning. Moreover, whether using multi-scale summaries or multimodal knowledge graphs, current approaches prioritize retrieval relevance while overlooking evidence sufficiency, often stopping to answer once only semantically relevant clues are retrieved, even when key temporal, causal, or fine-grained action evidence is still missing. To tackle these challenges, we propose REVEAL, a rubric-guided agent framework. As a foundation, we introduce an adaptive visual-similarity-based preprocessing pipeline that groups visually coherent adjacent frames into natural event units to construct an offline-online video memory---capturing global video context offline while dynamically maintaining question-conditioned memory online. Built upon this structured memory, REVEAL uses an automatically constructed rubric library to explicitly verify whether retrieved evidence satisfies sufficiency criteria, pinpoints missing clues upon verification failure, and directs targeted re-retrieval for complementary information. Without any extra training, REVEAL consistently outperforms both closed-source and open-source state-of-the-art methods across extensive experiments. These results show that explicitly verifying evidence sufficiency, rather than stopping at semantic relevance, retrieves the decisive clues that prior methods miss and yields more reliable long-video reasoning.
C.J. Yan, Yang Zhou, Meixing Shi et al.· 0 citations