Online Multiscale Conformal Calibration for Response-Defined Wind-Ramp Groups
Wind-ramp events depend on future wind speed, so their group membership is unknown when a forecast is issued. We study MS-CRACP-D, a model-agnostic online calibrator that combines candidate-response inversion, overlapping pooled and site-directional groups, and one-sided partial pooling. Under a finite interval-partiti...