Open access
Jul 2026
Context-Aware Asymmetric Conformal Calibration of Renewable-Power Prediction Intervals for Day-Ahead Operational Risk Assessment
High renewable penetration makes day-ahead operation sensitive to the directional effects of wind and photovoltaic forecast errors. Conventional prediction intervals mainly evaluate coverage and sharpness, but lower- and upper-boundary violations correspond to different operational risks: shortage-side supply-adequacy...
Peng Han, Jun Zhao, Yu Liu et al.
· Energies · 0 citations