Parameters Overshadowed by Price Lags: Load, Climate, and Calendar Effects in ERCOT Day-Ahead Price Formation
This paper proposes a regime-sensitive, explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) framework to unmask the hidden roles of load, climate, and calendar variables in the ERCOT Day-Ahead Market (2014-2024), and introduces a Suppression Ratio to quantify how price lags overshadow physical parameters.