Open access
Sep 2026
Risk-Controlling Predictive Sets for Time-Series Events Under Selective Observation with Finite-Sample Guarantees
SOWRC combines alert labels with randomized audits through Horvitz–Thompson losses and a martingale-mixture boundary and shows that population risk is non-identifiable when any silent region has zero labeling probability.
Si-Yang Bai, Zheng Fang, Jie Chen
· Axioms · 0 citations