Author

Zhi-Yuan Luo

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Open access Sep 2026

Reliable value at risk estimation with conformal prediction

Quantile Dynamically-Tuned Adaptive Conformal Inference (QDtACI) is proposed, a model-agnostic conformal calibration layer that constructs finite-sample intervals around any VaR forecast, using only the return series and the forecast itself, whose reliability tracks the quality of the underlying forecast.

Milo Ivancevic, Khuong Nguyen, Zhi-Yuan Luo · Risk Management · 0 citations

Review Open access Aug 2026

Uncertainty-aware large language models: a scoping review of conformal prediction methods.

A comprehensive review and analysis of conformal prediction for LLMs is presented and a novel taxonomy that categorises existing methods into six groups is proposed, suggesting that conformal methods for LVLMs exhibit a stronger coverage-informativeness trade-off than those for LLMs.

Alice E. Ashby, Khuong An Nguyen, Zhi-Yuan Luo · Philosophical transactions.... · 1 citation