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Sponsored AI AM CLAUDE, A Beginner's Guide: Learn the basics of working with AI AI AM CLAUDE, A Beginner's Guide: Learn the basics of working with AI

Author

Zi-Xuan Ma

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#machine learning Preprint Sep 2026

Model-Agnostic Online Certificate-Driven Calibration for Time Series Forecasting Under Distribution Shift

This work proposes a model-agnostic online martingale Probably Approximately Correct Bayesian framework that yields finite-sample certificates under temporal dependence and distribution shift and uses the certificate as a surrogate regularizer for online calibration.

Chen-Feng Huang, Zi-Xuan Ma, George Michailidis · 3 citations
#machine learning Review Sep 2026

Causal Bayesian Optimization: Foundations, Methods, and Applications

This survey provides a systematic review of CBO through a unified BO-loop perspective, showing how causal assumptions shape intervention search spaces, surrogate models, acquisition functions, and decision policies, and identifies key open challenges, including robustness to causal-assumption violations, scalable unkno...

Chen-Feng Huang, Thuy T. Le, Zi-Xuan Ma et al. · 0 citations

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