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Aug 2026

Self-supervised Causal Effects Estimation

Causal effect estimation is fundamental to personalized decision-making and policy evaluation, with applications spanning healthcare, economics, and social sciences. However, observational data often suffer from selection bias and the absence of counterfactual outcomes, posing significant challenges to inference accuracy. While recent representation learning-based approaches have shown promise, they fail to fully exploit the rich self-supervised information and causal prior knowledge embedded in the data. To address these limitations, we propose Self-supervised Causal Effects Estimation (SCEE), a novel framework that integrates causal priors with self-supervised learning to construct balanced and predictive representations for causal effects estimation. Experimental results on widely used real-world, semi-synthetic, and synthetic benchmarks demonstrate that SCEE consistently outperforms state-of-the-art methods. To further enhance its effectiveness, we investigate different contrastive sample selection strategies, maximizing the potential of contrastive learning in causal inference. Additionally, we analyze the impact of sample reweighting and show that SCEE inherently mitigates distributional discrepancies between treatment and control groups, eliminating the need for explicit reweighting mechanisms.

Xinshu Li, Shiyi Yang, Venus Haghighi et al. · 0 citations
Book Open access Aug 2026

Causal Abstraction Learning for Multi-Modal Grounded Planning

Recent advances in multimodal embodied agents have enabled long-horizon planning in visually rich environments via natural language. Yet, their generalization remains brittle when task instructions deviate from familiar examples, exposing a reliance on surface imitation rather than structural understanding. We propose Causal Abstraction Learning for Multi-Modal Grounded Planning (CALM), a framework that enhances planning agents with the ability to discover and exploit causal regularities across tasks. CALM incrementally develops a causal library by abstracting precondition–effect structure from successful executions, yielding compact representations that emphasize stable dependencies beyond incidental context. When execution diverges from expectation, these abstractions are refined through contrastive causal reasoning, enabling targeted adjustments that resolve underlying mechanism mismatch. The resulting structure serves as a transferable prior for planning in novel settings, integrating perceptual cues with mechanism-informed knowledge. Without retraining or task-specific heuristics, CALM generalizes robustly and efficiently to linguistic and perceptual variation. Experiments on ALFRED and VirtualHome demonstrate consistent gains, highlighting causal abstraction as a scalable inductive bias for grounded planning.

Xinshu Li, Shiyi Yang, Ziqi Xu et al. · 0 citations
Preprint Aug 2026

The"Curse of Knowledge"in LLM Query Simulation: Concept Provenance for Tracing Answer-Side Intrusion

LLM-generated search queries are widely used to augment IR evaluation, yet they may contain concepts that presuppose answer-side document knowledge, violating the information-access boundary of pre-search users. Existing validation metrics, including overlap, diversity, and effectiveness, cannot distinguish rare human-tail variation from candidate answer-side intrusion. We introduce concept provenance, a framework that assigns query concepts to backstory-supported, human-central, human-tail, and candidate answer-side zones, operationalizing a boundary that retrieval metrics alone cannot detect. Applying concept provenance to 77,004 queries across 100 UQV100 topics, 8 LLMs, and 5 prompt conditions with two extraction pipelines, we obtain a cross-pipeline token-HCIR Spearman rho of 1.0 over five condition means. Candidate answer-side concepts constitute 7.40 percent of non-generic concepts and appear in 97 of 100 topics, with topic explaining approximately 67 percent of variance. Human validation yields 68.2 percent relaxed precision, revealing two mechanisms: knowledge intrusion at 45.5 percent and deployment intrusion at 45.0 percent. Diagnostic probes show disproportionate localized retrieval effects, with deletion effect size d = -0.47 compared with d = -0.34 for random deletion, but these concepts explain less than 2 percent of aggregate evaluation variance. Concept provenance therefore serves as a boundary-compliance diagnostic rather than an evaluation-shift predictor. Under the tested conditions, no prompt condition eliminates intrusion; post-generation concept-provenance selection achieves 99 percent elimination.

Chenglong Ma, Xinye Wanyan, Danula Hettiachchi et al. · 0 citations