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data science

3,686 papers

#machine learning Preprint Aug 2026

When Identical Rows Disagree: From Benchmark Identifiability to Replication-Robust Anomaly Detection

This work introduces SCOUT (Support-Count Orthogonalized Unsupervised Testing), a factorized anomaly detector that separates replication-invariant support evidence from exposure-aware count evidence and specifies when multiplicity should be treated as signal, nuisance, or uninterpretable without additional information.

Jie Deng · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Sep 2026

The Impossible Trinity of Time-Series Validation: A Conservation Law among Training Sufficiency, Test Coverage, and Temporal Causality

Validating a model on a time series asks for three things at once: each training run should use most of the sample (sufficiency), the test sets should together cover most of the sample (coverage), and training data should come before test data (causality). We prove that the three cannot be had together and price each o...

Jiayu Li · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Sep 2026

Neural Transport Nested Sampling

This work develops a novel sampling algorithm, Neural Transport Nested Sampling (NTNS), which combines the classical strengths of nested sampling with modern neural flow-based methods, and is the first neural sampler to return a calibrated, temperature resolved partition function estimate at this scale.

D. Yallup, Will Handley · 1 citation
#machine learning Preprint Sep 2026

RLVR landscapes for iterated multiplications can be benign: Insights from spin-glass theory

This work maps entropy-regularized RLVR over myopic tabular policies onto an energy-based (spin-glass) model over deterministic policies, and finds that a transformer trained from scratch, using only last-token rewards, successfully learns an algorithmic chain of thought for iterated non-Abelian group multiplications.

Noa Rubin, Z. Ringel · 0 citations
#artificial intelligence Preprint Open access Sep 2026

Deep Positive-Unlabeled Anomaly Detection for Contaminated Unlabeled Data

Semi-supervised anomaly detection, which aims to improve the anomaly detection performance by using a small amount of labeled anomaly data in addition to unlabeled data, has attracted attention. Existing semi-supervised approaches assume that most unlabeled data are normal, and train anomaly detectors by minimizing the...

Hiroshi Takahashi, Tomoharu Iwata, Atsutoshi Kumagai et al. · 0 citations
#artificial intelligence Preprint Sep 2026

Direct Message Approximation (DMA): A Consistency-Based Framework for Tractable Approximate Inference on Factor Graphs

Direct Message Approximation (DMA), which approximates factor-to-variable messages directly rather than the marginal, is introduced and a master theorem (proper messages, any graph) bounding marginal KL from message KL is proved, with three structural corollaries.

Ralf Herbrich, Rainer Schlösser, Jan Lemcke et al. · 1 citation
#artificial intelligence Preprint Sep 2026

FB-GDM: Fully-Bayesian Guided Diffusion Models for High-Dimensional Linear Inverse Problems via Unsupervised Variational Inference

FB-GDM is robust when the forward operator, the noise level, or the image distribution changes, and stays close to a per-problem $\Pi$GDM oracle throughout and does not exhibit the hallucinations observed with DPS, whereas DPS substantially degrades at a fixed scale and $\Pi$GDM stays competitive only if it is re-tuned...

Gatien Séguy, T. Rodet · 0 citations
#artificial intelligence Preprint Open access Sep 2026

NumericJev: Jev-like LLM Numerical Decoding with Multiway Decision Trees

Large language models can interpret natural lan- guage, yet robust decisions remain challenging. Jev-like models expose structured choices, but these interfaces do not directly provide numeri- cal values at a requested precision. We propose NUMERICJEV, a training-free numerical decod- ing algorithm that enables numeric...

Weiwei Ye, Hangchen Liu, Renhe Jiang · 0 citations
#artificial intelligence Preprint Sep 2026

SGA: Uncertainty Quantification for Multi-Step Forecasting in Time Series Foundation Models

The proposed SGA first characterizes the topology of all potential forecast branches using a directed acyclic graph, such that the graph complexity bounds the uncertainty of multi-step TSFM forecasts, and then precisely measures the graph complexity by integrating both topological information and TSFM-inherent stochast...

Xin-Miao Hu, Shuang Liang, Cheng Feng et al. · 0 citations
#artificial intelligence Preprint Sep 2026

Speculative Evaluation of Stochastic LLMs

Real-generation experiments that account for the pilot synchronization barrier show that HBN-async mitigates its overhead, helping translate statistical efficiency into practical evaluation benefits, and outperforming hindsight-tuned empirical and independent Bayesian baselines.

Qian-Li Shen, Xiang Li, Ruo-Meng Ding et al. · 0 citations
#artificial intelligence Preprint Sep 2026

Certified Task-Conditioned Active Observability

It is proved that task-predictive equivalence induces the unique minimal sufficient quotient $\mathcal{H}/\!\sim_\tau$, leaving active observability complexity strictly invariant while eliminating superfluous distinctions.

Lin-Zhe Zhang, Chang-Ming Xu · 0 citations
#artificial intelligence Preprint Sep 2026

When Does Action Credit Need Updating?

Overall, the results show that agents do not need to recompute action credit after every policy update: much of the historical evidence can be reused or cheaply corrected, reducing the additional interaction required to keep action decisions up to date.

Hong-Ye Yang, Bo-Xiao Huang · 0 citations

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GPT-Lab Nov 3, 2026

Sovereignty Is the Option to Leave

Is your company’s AI sovereign? A practical guide for CIOs on AI vendor lock-in, EU Data Act switching, cloud sovereignty, and testing your exit plan before you need it. The post Sovereignty Is the Option to Leave appeared first on GPT-Lab.

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