Augmentation has become a central technique for improving deep forecasting models, but classification-style transformations tend to break the coherence between the look-back window and its continuous future target. We describe a simple procedure that unfolds the joint input-target sequence into overlapping sliding windows, randomly reorders a controlled fraction of them-prioritized by a lightweight variance criterion-and reconstructs the sequence by averaging across the overlaps, producing synthetic samples with controlled variation while limiting temporal distortion. The procedure is model-agnostic, introduces only three interpretable hyperparameters, and achieves strong improvements over a comprehensive set of competing augmentations across nine long-term forecasting benchmarks with five backbone families (TSMixer, DLinear, PatchTST, TiDE, LightTS) and four short-term traffic benchmarks with PatchTST. Component-wise ablations, hyperparameter sensitivity studies, distributional-alignment diagnostics, probabilistic forecasting evaluation, and a transfer experiment to univariate and multivariate time series classification clarify the contribution of each design choice.
Jafar Bakhshaliyev, Johannes Burchert, Niels Landwehr et al.· 0 citations
We derive two attention operators from generalized statistical entropies. Kaniadakis entropy yields an exact full-support normalization whose weights and low-score sensitivities decay algebraically, rather than exponentially as in Softmax or by exact truncation as in entmax. Classical Abe entropy yields an implicit reciprocal-symmetric operator. With $q=e^\epsilon$, the involution $q\leftrightarrow q^{-1}$ removes every odd correction about Softmax; we obtain the normalized second- and fourth-order terms, including the deformation of the normalization multiplier. These stationary laws follow from a Fisher-metric Lagrangian on the probability simplex, whose Shannon sector recovers scaled dot-product Softmax. We also give a tangent-gradient test for deciding whether changing the entropy changes the attention profile or only its scale. R\'enyi and two-parameter Sharma--Mittal entropies retain the Tsallis--entmax inverse-gradient shape, but their global moments make the effective temperature input dependent when the external temperature is fixed. Distinguishing profile-shape equivalence from fixed-parameter operator equivalence separates new normalization shapes from adaptive rescalings and organizes the operators by support, tail behavior, and realization complexity.
Training instability remains a critical challenge in large language model (LLM) pretraining, often manifesting as sudden gradient explosions that waste significant computational resources. We study training failures in a 5M-parameter NanoGPT model scaled via $\mu$P, identifying two key phenomena preceding collapse: (1) rapid decline in weight matrix stable rank (ratio of squared Frobenius norm to squared spectral norm), and (2) increasing alignment between adjacent layer Jacobians. We prove theoretically that these two conditions jointly cause exponential gradient norm growth with network depth. To break this instability mechanism, we propose MSign, a new optimizer that periodically applies matrix sign operations to restore stable rank. Experiments on models from 5M to 3B parameters demonstrate that MSign effectively prevents training failures with a computational overhead of less than 7.0%.
Lianhai Ren, Yucheng Ding, Xiao Liu et al.· 0 citations
Neural networks trained by gradient-based methods often exhibit optimization-induced accuracy plateaus in scientific machine learning tasks. We present Linearized Subspace Refinement (LSR), an architecture-agnostic post-training framework that exploits the local linearized model at a fixed trained state. By solving a reduced direct least-squares problem in a Jacobian-defined low-dimensional space, LSR computes a subspace-optimal linearized correction and yields a refined predictor with markedly improved accuracy. Across function approximation, data-driven operator learning, physics-informed operator fine-tuning, and noisy inverse problems, LSR shows that standard nonlinear training can remain far above this subspace-attainable error level. Similar accuracy plateaus persist even for the convex quadratic problem from local linearization when solved with standard iterative optimizers, identifying numerical ill-conditioning as a primary bottleneck. LSR frequently delivers order-of-magnitude error reductions, while the subspace rank provides an explicit capacity-control mechanism that balances correction strength, numerical stability, and noise sensitivity. Together, LSR exposes conditioning-limited attainable accuracy in trained-state linearized models and provides direct access to it.
Wenbo Cao, Weiwei Zhang· 0 citations
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DuaDeep-SeqAffinity is a sequence-only deep learning framework that predicts antibody--antigen binding affinity directly from primary amino acid sequences, avoiding the cost and scarcity of resolved three-dimensional structures. The antigen and the antibody heavy and light chains are processed as three independent streams, each embedded with a frozen ESM-2 protein language model and passed through parallel Transformer and convolutional neural network (CNN) branches before late fusion, a decoupled design intended to preserve local complementarity-determining region (CDR) signal that monolithic encoders can dilute. On a sequence-disjoint split of the AbRank benchmark, the model achieves a Pearson correlation of 0.683, an R^2 of 0.460, and a pairwise ranking AUC of 0.895, significantly outperforming single-branch ablations (paired t-test, p < 0.05). Attention-map and gradient-based saliency analyses further show that the model preferentially attends to CDR loops and candidate epitope residues, supporting its use as a scalable, structure-free tool for high-throughput antibody screening.
Aicha Boutorh, Soumia Bouyahiaoui, Manel Kara Laouar et al.· 0 citations
We study reinforcement learning for controlled diffusion processes with unbounded continuous state spaces, bounded continuous actions, and polynomially growing rewards: settings that arise naturally in finance, economics, and operations research. To overcome the challenges of continuous and high-dimensional domains, we introduce a model-based algorithm that adaptively partitions the joint state-action space. The algorithm maintains estimators of drift, volatility, and rewards within each partition, refining the discretization whenever estimation bias exceeds statistical confidence. This adaptive scheme balances exploration and approximation, enabling efficient learning in unbounded domains. Our analysis establishes regret bounds that depend on the problem horizon, state dimension, reward growth order, and a newly defined notion of zooming dimension tailored to unbounded diffusion processes. The bounds recover existing results for bounded settings as a special case, while extending theoretical guarantees to a broader class of diffusion-type problems. Finally, we validate the effectiveness of our approach through numerical experiments, including applications to high-dimensional problems such as multi-asset mean-variance portfolio selection.
The emergence and evolution of feature reliance in deep reinforcement learning agents remain poorly understood. Here, we introduce a methodological framework for analyzing the learning process through quantitative analysis of saliency maps. This approach aggregates saliency information at the object and modality level into hierarchical attention profiles, quantifying how agents allocate attention over time, thereby forming attention trajectories throughout training. These profiles are then compared across controlled conditions, connected to behavioral measurements and reproduced with different saliency methods to assess the robustness of the findings. Applied to Atari 2600 benchmarks, custom Pong environments, and biomechanical user simulations in visuomotor tasks, this framework uncovers algorithm-specific attention biases, diagnosed unintended reward-driven strategies, and overfitting to redundant sensory channels. These patterns correspond to measurable behavioral differences, demonstrating empirical links between attention profiles, learning dynamics, and agent behavior. The results establish attention trajectories as a promising diagnostic axis for tracing how feature reliance develops during training and for identifying biases and vulnerabilities invisible to performance metrics alone.
Charlotte Beylier, Hannah Selder, Arthur Fleig et al.· 0 citations
We investigate robust federated learning, where a group of workers collaboratively train a shared model under the orchestration of a central server in the presence of Byzantine adversaries capable of arbitrary and potentially malicious behaviors. To simultaneously enhance communication efficiency and resilience against such adversaries, we propose a Byzantine-resilient Nesterov-accelerated federated learning (Byrd-NAFL) algorithm. Byrd-NAFL seamlessly integrates Nesterov's momentum into the federated learning process alongside Byzantine-resilient aggregation rules to achieve fast and safe convergence against gradient corruption. We establish a finite-time convergence guarantee for Byrd-NAFL under non-convex and smooth loss functions with relaxed assumptions on the aggregated gradients. Extensive numerical experiments validate the effectiveness of Byrd-NAFL and demonstrate the superiority over existing benchmarks in terms of convergence speed, accuracy, and resilience to diverse malicious attacks.
Lihan Xu, Xiaoyi Fan, Gang Wang et al.· 0 citations
Temporal cascade prediction is widely studied, yet its empirical foundations remain fragile. Most existing works report results under random cascade splits that mix past and future signals, rely on datasets with limited features and no downstream conversion labels, and compare increasingly complex models without systematically examining whether benchmark conclusions are protocol-dependent. This paper argues that the field should move from leakage-prone evaluation toward fidelity-aware benchmarking. We introduce a protocol suite and renewed evaluation standard for temporal cascade prediction, centered on the Full Temporal protocol, overlap-based leakage diagnostics, and analyses of performance inflation and temporal drift. To broaden the scope of benchmark tasks, we also present Taoke, a real-world e-commerce cascade dataset with rich promoter/product features and observed purchase conversions, enabling both first-stage popularity forecasting and second-stage conversion forecasting under a shared benchmark asset. Finally, we include CasTemp as a lightweight reference method and additionally probe a larger same-task internal extension to verify that this pipeline remains operational at substantially greater scale. Together, these components turn cascade prediction from a protocol-sensitive leaderboard exercise into a more reliable analysis and benchmarking problem, while still providing a practical reference pipeline for large-scale evaluation and conversion-aware modeling.
Jie Peng, Rui Wang, Qiang Wang et al.· 0 citations
Distributionally robust reinforcement learning seeks policies that remain effective when the deployment environment differs from the one that generated the training data. We study model-free robust Q-learning with $\chi^2$ uncertainty sets and linear function approximation, using data from a single trajectory of an unknown nominal MDP. Evaluating the $\chi^2$ robust Bellman target introduces the square root of a conditional second moment, which cannot be estimated unbiasedly from one transition, while the projected robust Bellman operator need not be contractive. We address these obstacles through a variational reformulation of the robust Bellman target and a blockwise frozen-target scheme, and establish a finite-time error bound relative to the optimal robust Q-function for every $\gamma\in(0,1)$. A neural-network experiment illustrates how the variational target can be used in a continuous-state nonlinear-control task.
Saptarshi Mandal, Yashaswini Murthy, R. Srikant· 0 citations
Learning the optimal policy for Markov decision process problems (MDPs) from samples is a fundamental problem in online and data-driven decision-making. Function approximations are usually deployed to handle large or infinite state-action space. In our work, we consider the MDP problems with function approximation and we develop a new algorithm to solve it efficiently. Our algorithm is based on a linear programming (LP) reformulation and repeatedly resolves the identified reduced linear system as new transition samples arrive. After the optimal basis is identified, we show that, after $N$ resolving rounds, the expected averaged iterate achieves an instance-dependent $\widetilde O(C_{\mathrm{inst}}/N)$ objective shortfall and signed constraint residual. We separately account for the historical samples used for basis identification and the $d_2$ transition queries used in each resolving round, which yields the corresponding total transition-query complexity. We further complement our result with a \textit{robust} $O(1/\sqrt{N})$ bound that is independent of $\Delta$. In comparison to the guarantees established in the previous literature, our instance dependent guarantee is tighter when the underlying instance is favorable, and the numerical experiments also reveal the wide applications and efficient empirical performances of our algorithms.
The application of learning based methods to vehicle routing problems has emerged as a pivotal area of research in combinatorial optimization. These problems are characterized by vast solution spaces and intricate constraints, making traditional approaches such as exact mathematical models or heuristic methods prone to high computational overhead or reliant on the design of complex heuristic operators to achieve optimal or near optimal solutions. Meanwhile, although some recent learning-based methods can produce good performance for VRP with straightforward constraint scenarios, they often fail to effectively handle hard constraints that are common in practice. This study introduces a novel end-to-end framework that combines constraint-oriented hypergraphs with reinforcement learning to address vehicle routing problems. A central innovation of this work is the development of a constraint-oriented dynamic hyperedge reconstruction strategy within an encoder, which significantly enhances hypergraph representation learning. Additionally, the decoder leverages a double-pointer attention mechanism to iteratively generate solutions. The proposed model is trained by incorporating asynchronous parameter updates informed by hypergraph constraints and optimizing a dual loss function comprising constraint loss and policy gradient loss. The experiment results on benchmark datasets demonstrate that the proposed approach not only eliminates the need for sophisticated heuristic operators but also achieves substantial improvements in solution quality.
Zhenwei Wang, Tiehua Zhang, Jing Liu et al.· 0 citations
A weeklong summer workshop brought higher education faculty to campus to explore how AI and machine learning materials can be adapted for their classrooms.
A new machine-learning framework aims to improve the success rate of computational protein design while moving away from results that reproduce sequences found in nature.
MIT News · Artificial Intelligence· news.mit.eduAug 24, 2026
