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#machine learning Preprint Sep 2026

High-Probability Nash Regret for Decentralized Learning in Markov $\alpha$-Potential Games: Episodic and Fully Online Asynchronous Algorithms with Applications to Markov Congestion Games

We study decentralized learning of Nash equilibria (NE) in infinite-horizon discounted Markov games under bandit feedback, focusing on Markov $\alpha$-potential games. We develop KL-projected natural policy gradient (NPG) algorithms in two settings: an episodic setting with frozen policies during sampling and a fully o...

S. Etesami · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Sep 2026

Cloud Workflow Scheduling Based on Graph Attention-Driven Hierarchical Reinforcement Learning

Dynamic cloud workflow scheduling must balance deadline satisfaction, container utilization, and energy consumption while dealing with stochastic task-execution speeds, placement-dependent communication, and coupled task and container decisions. Workflows are naturally modeled as directed acyclic graphs (DAGs), but con...

Zong-Jin Li, Shaohan Feng, Chun-Xi Yang et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Sep 2026

AgentKV: Phase-Aware KV Eviction for Agentic LLMs

Agentic serving can consume orders of magnitude more tokens than chatbot workloads, stressing both KV-cache capacity and decode-time bandwidth. Most KV-eviction methods score cached keys against representative queries drawn from the most recent tokens, assuming future attention resembles recent attention. We show that...

Taowen Tony Liu, Jeffrey T. H. Wong, Can Xiao et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Sep 2026

Tackling Failure Modes of PINNs and PIKANs Using Conflict-Free Gradients

Scientific machine learning methods such as physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) increasingly rely on domain decomposition for better scalability while solving partial differential equations (PDEs) over complex geometries, yet the resulting composite loss comprising residual, boundary, and interface terms is highly...

Sidharth S. Menon, Irina Tezaur, Ameya D. Jagtap · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Sep 2026

Decision-Oriented Uncertainty Quantification for Risk Control in Earth System Spatiotemporal Foundation Models

Earth system modeling is shifting from task-specific predictors toward foundation models with general spatiotemporal representation capabilities. Although these models can jointly encode dynamic Earth fields, external forcings, and static geographic context for multistep forecasting, accurate point predictions or stati...

Ji Lu, Huiran Duan, Bo Zhao et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Sep 2026

Privacy Preserving Gossip Learning

We propose a decentralized privacy-preserving learning algorithm in which each agent holds a single private sample and a shared model. Samples are learned sequentially, and each update must preserve the endpoint mappings at previously learned samples while protecting private data. This gives each agent three roles: (i)...

Erkan Bayram, Mohamed-Ali Belabbas, Tamer Ba\c{s}ar · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Sep 2026

WaVeFuse: Regime-Adaptive Equity Index Forecasting via Channel-Wise Wavelet Denoising and Vertical Attention Fusion

Hybrid Deep Learning for equity index forecasting is limited by three problems: propagation of OHLCV noise into derived technical indicators (TIs), channel-indiscriminate multi-scale decomposition that conflates heterogeneous frequency signatures, and static multi-branch fusion that cannot adapt to market regime shifts...

Aashish Bohra, Vivek Vijay · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Sep 2026

Are Gradient Boosting Models Suitable for Intermittent Demand Forecasting?

Demand forecasting is critical in modern industry, offering opportunities to reduce costs and gain competitive advantage through improved inventory management. However, forecasting becomes particularly challenging for products with intermittent demand, where demand occurs infrequently and time series contain many zero...

Vladislav Kislinskii, Mazhar Hameed · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Sep 2026

GRPO-QPS: Target-Preserving Reinforcement Learning for Quantum Posterior Sampling

Bayesian quantum tomography requires efficient inference while preserving a posterior fixed by the prior and Born likelihood. Learned transport provides fast amortized samples, but reward tuning can reshape the generated distribution rather than improve exploration of this fixed target. We introduce GRPO-QPS, a target-...

Yu-Feng Wang, Parivesh Priye, Lu Wei et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Sep 2026

An immune world model for multiscale forecasting and therapeutic hypothesis generation

Immune therapies act across cell-intrinsic programs, tissue ecosystems, and patient-specific immune states, yet most predictors address these scales separately. We used a governed evolutionary AI Scientist to construct the Immune World Model, an action-conditioned model that learns how interventions move immune states...

Taoyong Cui, Xi Wang, Zonghang Li et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Sep 2026

Symmetries and Singularities

Deep neural networks are highly over-parameterized, and different parameter values represent the same predictive function. This makes their effective complexity difficult to measure using only the number of parameters or the rank of the Hessian. Singular Learning Theory addresses this issue through the local learning c...

Vishnu Varadarajan, Mihir More, Aritra Das et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Sep 2026

Know When to Stop, Where to Restart: Accelerating Multi-Turn Agentic On-Policy Distillation

On-policy distillation (OPD) has become a standard approach for transferring capabilities from large teachers to compact students. Its cost, however, is dominated by autoregressive student rollouts and scales poorly in multi-turn agentic settings. Existing acceleration methods truncate or relocate the supervision signa...

Zhiyu Gui, Kexin Huang, Jia Guo et al. · 0 citations

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Microsoft Research Blog Sep 30, 2026

Forecasting space weather risks on power grids

Extreme space-weather events can damage power systems on Earth and degrade GPS accuracy and satellite operations. A new machine learning system can predict where damage is likely to occur 30-60 minutes before a storm arrives. The post Forecasting space weather risks on power grids appeared first on Microsoft Research.

MIT News · Artificial Intelligence Sep 29, 2026

Who we become when we talk to machines

Professor Sherry Turkle’s new book, “Artificial Intimacy,” offers a withering critique of chatbots and the antisocial dynamics she believes they encourage.

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