We investigate a computable and empirically implementable framework for continuous-time mean--variance optimal portfolio selection with random market coefficients. The market model is built on a tractable multifactor stochastic volatility structure, which captures state-dependent risk premia, stochastic volatility, and dynamic cross-asset dependence. The optimal control is characterized by stochastic Riccati equations. On the computational side, we design an iterative BSDE-based procedure to approximate the stochastic Riccati equation from above and below, where the initial upper and lower bounds are obtained by solving two linear BSDEs. We then apply a logarithmic transformation to remove the singularity in the SRE, and solve the resulting transformed equation using both Deep BSDE and DBDP methods. The linear BSDE bounds also provide effective initial-value estimates, improving the convergence speed and training stability of the Deep BSDE solver. Empirical experiments based on sector ETF data show that the proposed multifactor mean--variance strategy produces smooth target-return wealth dynamics, with improved drawdown control and downside-risk protection relative to benchmark strategies. These results demonstrate the practical potential of combining stochastic Riccati equations, neural BSDE solvers, and multifactor market modeling for dynamic asset allocation.
We study Markowitz's mean-variance portfolio optimization problem. When practically using this model, the mean vector and the covariance matrix of the assets returns often need to be estimated from the sample data. The sample errors will be propagated to the optimization output. In this paper, we consider three commonl...
We study a local stochastic volatility (LSV) model in which the variance factor follows a generalized Langevin equation (GLE) with colored noise, and past returns act on variance through a memory kernel with state-dependent amplitudes. For kernels given by finite sums of exponentials, we prove existence, uniqueness, an...
This work introduces a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) kernel that mixes better than existing samplers at the same computational complexity, and introduces a Sequential Monte Carlo squared sampler, which delivers at every $t$ the one-step-ahead predictive density and the marginal likelihood of the data up to $t, and he...
N. Chopin, Andras Fulop, Yu-Ming Huo et al.· 0 citations
European option smiles determine the risk-neutral marginal laws of an asset, but not their intertemporal coupling, which is decisive for many applications. The Bass martingale construction selects, among all calibrated martingales, the one closest to Bachelier dynamics; it permits fast calibration at discrete maturitie...
M. Beiglböck, Manuel Hasenbichler, G. Pammer· 1 citation
We develop a two-step procedure for estimating integrated volatility functionals, defined through the occupation measure of the latent spot volatility process, when the asset price is a pure-jump semimartingale. In the first step, block-based estimators formed from absolute powers of high-frequency increments uniformly...
Da-Chuan Chen, Jia Li, Tian Xie et al.· 0 citations
A data-driven framework for constructing polyhedral uncertainty sets that integrates Gaussian mixture models to identify heterogeneous distributional components and ARIMA-GARCH models to capture time-varying volatility dynamics is proposed, providing a statistically grounded, geometrically faithful, and computationally...
D. Setyawan, D. Chaerani, S. Sukono et al.· Mathematics· 1 citation
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