Coordinated Multi-Time-Scale Low-Carbon Economic Dispatch Strategy for Integrated Energy Systems Considering Source-Load Uncertainties

Abstract

The growing penetration of renewable energy sources introduces significant uncertainties into integrated energy systems (IESs). Conventional single-timescale management strategies, typically designed for static power balance, fail to address the symmetry of source-load uncertainties arising from both supply and demand sides. To address this challenge, this paper proposes a multi-timescale optimal scheduling framework that integrates demand response (DR) and multi-energy flow coupling. The framework adopts a hierarchical progressive strategy across day-ahead, intra-day, and real-time stages. The day-ahead stage optimizes the economic baseline with an hourly resolution. The intra-day stage conducts rolling correction at 15 min intervals to activate slow-response equipment flexibility, boosting combined heat and power (CHP) generation by 40.70% and increasing waste-heat cooling consumption by 41.12%. The real-time stage employs energy storage at 5 min resolution to suppress fluctuations, maintaining electricity, heat, and cooling load deviations, respectively, at remarkably low levels of 0.17%, 0.10%, and 0.06%. Comparative results show that with power-to-gas (P2G) integration, the system purchases off-peak electricity for synthetic natural gas production, cutting gas procurement costs by 12.70% and reducing net carbon emissions from 5.14 t to 4.91 t. DR mechanisms enable a gas–electricity substitution strategy that lowers electricity purchase costs by 9.97%, reduces evening peak electric vehicle (EV) charging load by 8.32%, and decreases charging expenses by 15%.